Prognosis
Reported Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) Mortality Rates
- Historical ARDS Mortality Rates (Studies Published in 2000): 30-40% (NEJM, 2000) [MEDLINE] [MEDLINE]
- ARDS Mortality Rate on Current Lung Protective Ventilation Strategies (Studies Published in 1999 and 2004): 13-23% (Intensive Care Med, 1999) [MEDLINE] (Intensive Care Med, 2004) [MEDLINE]
- ALIEN Study of ARDS Mortality Rates in the Current Era of Lung Protective Ventilation Strategies (Intensive Care Med, 2011) [MEDLINE]
- ICU Mortality Rate: 42.7%
- Hospital Mortality Rate: 47.8%
- ARDS Mortality Rate in Patients Without Clinical Improvement in pO2/FIO2 Ratio in First 24 hrs After Initiating Mechanical Ventilation: 53-68% (Intensive Care Med, 1999) [MEDLINE] (Intensive Care Med, 2004) [MEDLINE]
- Mortality Rate by Berlin Definition Class (JAMA, 2012) [MEDLINE]
- Mild ARDS: 27% mortality rate (95% CI: 24%-30%)
- Moderate ARDS: 32% mortality rate (95% CI: 29%-34%)
- Severe ARDS: 45% mortality rate (95% CI: 42%-48%)
Predicted Duration of Mechanical Ventilation in Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) Survivors by Berlin Definition Class (JAMA, 2012) [MEDLINE]
- Mild ARDS: 5 days (2-11 days)
- Moderate ARDS: 7 days (4-14 days)
- Severe ARDS: 9 days (5-17 days)
Predictors of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) Mortality
- Cirrhosis/End-Stage Liver Disease (see Cirrhosis)
- Failure of Pulmonary Function to Improve After 1 Week of Therapy
- Increased Physiologic Dead Space Fraction (VD/VT) in Early ARDS (Respir Care, 2014) [MEDLINE]
- Nonpulmonary Organ Dysfunction
- Sepsis (see Sepsis)
- Note: initial pO2/FIO2 ratio and initial indexes of ventilation do not predict mortality -> patients with the worse pO2/FIO2 ratios had the best survival
Postoperative Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) Mortality
- Systematic Review/Meta-Analysis of Morbidity/Mortality in Post-Operative Acute Lung Injury (Lancet Respir Med, 2014) [MEDLINE]
- Postoperative Acute Lung Injury is Associated with Increased In-Hospital Mortality Rate (Overall 19% Mortality Rate), Increased ICU Length of Stay, and Increased Hospital Length of Stay
- Mortality Due to Acute Lung Injury Associated with Thoracic Surgery is Higher (26.5% mortality) than Acute Lung Injury Associated with Abdominal Surgery (12.2% Mortality) Rate
- Lung Protective Mechanical Ventilation Strategies Decrease the Incidence of Postoperative Acute Lung Injury, But Do Not Impact the Mortality Rate
Sequelae of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS)
Post-Intensive Care Syndrome (PICS) (see Post-Intensive Care Syndrome)
General Comments
- Post-Intensive Care Syndrome (PICS) Constitutes New or Worsening Function in One or More of the Cognitive, Psychiatric, and Physical Domains After a Critical Illness
Clinical Studies
- Canadian Clinical Trials Group 5-Year Study of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) Sequelae (NEJM, 2011) [MEDLINE]: ARDS survivors (n = 109) studied at at 3, 6, and 12 months and at 2, 3, 4, and 5 years after discharge from the intensive care unit
- Exercise Limitation (Decreased 6-Minute Walk Test) and Physical Dysfunction May Persist for Up to 5 yrs After ARDS
- Pulmonary Function was Near Normal-Normal
- Psychological Problems May Persist for Up to 5 years after ARDS
- Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) Cognitive Outcomes Study (Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 2012) [MEDLINE]: study of ARDS survivors (n = 213)
- Long-Term Cognitive Impairment was Present in 55% of Subjects
- Anxiety was Present in 62% of Subjects
- Depression was Present in 36% of Subjects
- Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) was Present in 39% of Subjects
- Impact of Hypoxemia
- Presence of Hypoxemia is a Risk Factor for Long-Term Cognitive and Psychiatric Impairment
- Impact of Fluid Management Strategy
- Conservative Fluid Management Strategy is a Potential Risk Factor for Long-Term Cognitive Impairment
- However, This Finding Requires Further Studies for Confirmation
- Conservative Fluid Management Strategy is a Potential Risk Factor for Long-Term Cognitive Impairment
- BRAIN-ICU Study of Patients with Respiratory Failure or Shock in the Medical/Surgical Intensive Care Unit (NEJM, 2013) [MEDLINE]: n = 821
- Delirium Developed in 74% of Cases During Hospital Stay
- Outcomes At 3 Months
- 40% of Patients Had Impaired Global Cognition Scores that Were 1.5 Standard Deviations (SD) Below the Population Mean, Similar to Scores for Patients with Moderate Traumatic Brain Injury
- 26% of Patients Had Scores 2 Standard Deviations (SD) Below the Population Mean (Similar to Scores for Patients with Mild Alzheimer’s Disease)
- Outcomes At 12 Months
- Similar Persistent Cognitive Dysfunction Occurs as in Those with Moderate Traumatic Brain Injury
- Similar Persistent Cognitive Dysfunction Occurs as in Those with Mild Alzheimer’s Disease
- Impact of Duration of Delirium
- Longer Duration of Delirium was Significantly Associated with Worse Global Cognition at 3 and 12 Months and Worse Executive Function at 3 and 12 Months
- Impact of Sedative Use
- Use of Sedatives or Analgesics was Not Associated with Cognitive Impairment at 3 and 12 Months
- Cognitive Dysfunction was Also Independent of Age, Pre-Existing Cognitive Impairment, Presence or Severity of Coexisting Conditions, and Organ Failure During Intensive Care Unit Stay
- Longitudinal Cohort Study of Depression, Posttraumatic Stress Disorder, and Functional Disability in Intensive Care Survivors from the BRAIN-ICU Study (Lancet Respir Med, 2014) [MEDLINE]: n = 821
- At 3 Months
- Approximately 37% of Patients Reported at Least Mild Depression (Depression was Mainly Due to Somatic Symptoms, Rather than Cognitive-Affective Symptoms)
- Depressive Symptoms were Common Even in Patients without a History of Depression (Occurred in 30% of These Patients at 3 Months)
- Approximately 7% of Patients Reported Posttraumatic Stress Disorder at 3 Months
- Approximately 32% of Patients were Disabled in Their Activities of Daily Living (ADL’s)
- Approximately 26% of Patients were Disabled in Their Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL’s)
- After Adjusting for Covariates, Younger Age was Associated with a Probability of Worse Posttraumatic Stress Disorder
- Approximately 37% of Patients Reported at Least Mild Depression (Depression was Mainly Due to Somatic Symptoms, Rather than Cognitive-Affective Symptoms)
- At 12 Months
- Approximately 33% of Patients Reported at Least Mild Depression (Depression was Mainly Due to Somatic Symptoms, Rather than Cognitive-Affective Symptoms)
- Depressive Symptoms were Common Even in Patients without a History of Depression (Occurred in 29% of These Patients at 12 Months)
- Approximately 7% of Patients Reported Posttraumatic Stress Disorder at 12 Months
- Approximately 27% of Patients were Disabled in Their Activities of Daily Living (ADL’s)
- Approximately 23% of Patients were Disabled in Their Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL’s)
- After Adjusting for Covariates, Younger Age was Associated with a Probability of Worse Posttraumatic Stress Disorder
- Approximately 33% of Patients Reported at Least Mild Depression (Depression was Mainly Due to Somatic Symptoms, Rather than Cognitive-Affective Symptoms)
- At 3 Months
- NHLBI ARDS Network Prospective Longitudinal (1 Year) Multicenter Study of Physical Impairment in Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) Survivors (Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 2014) [MEDLINE]
- ARDS Survivors Demonstrated Impairment in 6-Minute Walk Test Distance (Distance was 64% Predicted at 6 Months, 67% Predicted at 1 Year) and Short Form-36 (SF-36) Physical Function Outcome Measures
- Impairment Appeared to Be Correlated with Mean Daily Corticosteroid Dose and ICU Length of Stay
- Prospective Longitudinal (2 Year) Multicenter Study of Physical Impairment in Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) Survivors (Crit Care Med, 2014) [MEDLINE]
- Muscle Weakness is Common at Hospital Discharge Following ARDS, Usually Recovering Within 1 Year
- Muscle Weakness is Associated with Substantial Impairment in Physical Function and Health-Related QOL, Which Continue Beyond 12 Months
- Corticosteroid Dose and Use of Neuromuscular Blockade Were Not Associated with the Development of Weakness
Decreased Quality of Life (QOL)
- Canadian Clinical Trials Group 5-Year Study of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) Sequelae (NEJM, 2011) [MEDLINE]: ARDS survivors (n = 109) studied at at 3, 6, and 12 months and at 2, 3, 4, and 5 years after discharge from the intensive care unit
- Decreased QOL May Persist for Up to 5 yrs After ARDS
- Prospective Longitudinal (2 Year) Multicenter Study of Physical Impairment in Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) Survivors (Crit Care Med, 2014) [MEDLINE]
- Muscle Weakness is Common at Hospital Discharge Following ARDS, Usually Recovering Within 1 Year
- Muscle Weakness is Associated with Substantial Impairment in Physical Function and Health-Related QOL, Which Continue Beyond 12 Months
- Corticosteroid Dose and Use of Neuromuscular Blockade Were Not Associated with the Development of Weakness
Increased Costs and Use of Health Care Services
- Canadian Clinical Trials Group 5-Year Study of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) Sequelae (NEJM, 2011) [MEDLINE]: ARDS survivors (n = 109) studied at at 3, 6, and 12 months and at 2, 3, 4, and 5 years after discharge from the intensive care unit
- Increased Health Care Costs and Increased Use of Health Care Services May Persist for Up to 5 yrs After ARDS
- Patients with More Coexisting Illnesses Incurred Greater 5-Year Costs
- French Cluster Analysis Study of Patient Disposition and Outcome After Critical Illness (Chest, 2022) [MEDLINE]: n = 77,132 ICU ICU survivors who spent ≥2 nights in a French ICU during 2018 and were treated with invasive mechanical ventilation or vasopressors or inotropes (trauma, burn, organ transplant, stroke, and neurosurgical patients were excluded)
- 89% of All Patients were Able to Return to Home
- In the Year After Discharge, These Patients Spent a Median of 330 (Interquartile Range [IQR]: 283-349) Days at Home
- At 1 Year
- 77% of Patients were Still at Home
- 17% Had Died
- 51% Had Been Re-Hospitalized
- 10% Required Further ICU Admission
- 48% of Patients Required Rehabilitation Facilities and 5.7% Required Hospital at Home
- Three Clusters of Patients with Distinct Post-ICU Trajectories were Identified
- Patients in Cluster 1 (68% of Total) Survived and Spent Most of the Year at Home (338 [323-354] Days)
- Patients in Cluster 2 (18%) Had More Complex Trajectories, But Most Could Return Home (91%), Spending 242 (174-277) Days at Home
- Patients in Cluster 3 (14%) Died with Only 37% Returning Home for 45 (15-90) Days
- 89% of All Patients were Able to Return to Home
References
Prognosis/Sequelae
- Functional Disability 5 Years after Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome NEJM 2011; 364:1293-1304 [MEDLINE]
- The ALIEN study: incidence and outcome of acute respiratory distress syndrome in the era of lung protective ventilation. Intensive Care Med. 2011 Dec;37(12):1932-41 [MEDLINE]
- The adult respiratory distress syndrome cognitive outcomes study: long-term neuropsychological function in survivors of acute lung injury. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2012 Jun 15;185(12):1307-15 [MEDLINE]
- The Adult Respiratory Distress Syndrome Cognitive Outcomes Study: long-term neuropsychological function in survivors of acute lung injury. Crit Care. 2013 May 24;17(3):317 [MEDLINE]
- BRAIN-ICU: Long-Term Cognitive Impairment after Critical Illness. N Engl J Med. 2013 Oct 3;369(14):1306-1316 [MEDLINE]
- Risk factors for physical impairment after acute lung injury in a national, multicenter study. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2014 May 15;189(10):1214-24. doi: 10.1164/rccm.201401-0158OC [MEDLINE]
- Physical complications in acute lung injury survivors: a two-year longitudinal prospective study. Crit Care Med. 2014;42:849–859 [MEDLINE]
- Depression, post-traumatic stress disorder, and functional disability in the BRAIN-ICU study: a longitudinal cohort study. Lancet Respir Med. 2014;5:369 [MEDLINE]
- Days Spent at Home and Mortality After Critical Illness: A Cluster Analysis Using Nationwide Data. Chest. 2022 Oct 17;S0012-3692(22)03997-6. doi: 10.1016/j.chest.2022.10.008 [MEDLINE]